And No Carriers, What a Bummer

It looks like the Latin American customs union, Mercosur, has declared that Falklands Islands flagged ships are banned from their ports, which amounts to a (rather porous) blockade:

Argentines call them las Malvinas. The British call them the Falklands. In news jargon, many assume that to use one name over the other is to take a side, mostly because these islands are the source of an acrimonious dispute that led to a non-declared war between the two countries in 1982.

Enter Mercosur, the trade agreement between Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay - with Chile as one of the associated member states - which, a week ago, decided to ban ships that fly the Falklands flag from their ports. The measure, a blockade in simple terms, was taken to show solidarity with Argentina on the issue.

Of course, things are different from 1982.

The British no longer have any aircraft carriers, and won't for many years to come, and the Chinese are explicitly endorsing the Argentine claim.

Truth be told, the only Falkland's flagged ships out there are probably a few fishing boats, but the fact is that if this escalates, there is very little that the UK can do to to maintain its controls over the islands.

Truth be told, I think that any escalation would come from the British side, as Cameron, remembering Thatcher's electoral benefit from the earlier war, will try to make a similar play for electorate.