The projected results have Kadima out-polling Likud by one vote, 28 to 27, with Yisrael Beitenu next at 15 seats, and Labor in 4th place at 13 seats, Shas (ultra-orthodox Sephardic party) at 11, with the remaining 26 seats divided amongst 7 other parties who got between 3 and 5 votes.
While I am pleasantly shocked (and once again wrong in my prediction) that Livni out-polled Netanyahu, it's still even odds that Bibi will be the next PM, as the bloc generally considered right wing numbers 62-63.
In any case, we are now well into coalition politics, which is less clear than an airline's frequent flier program, as the graphics below hint:
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