Economics Update

If you think that this crisis is over, it's not even close, as evidenced by the fact that 40% of US money market funds posted no returns yesterday:

More than 40 percent of U.S. taxable money market mutual funds posted zero return Thursday amid persistent turmoil in the credit markets, fund tracker Lipper said Friday.

Lipper said 560 of the 1,263 classes of taxable money funds it tracks earned no return Thursday. This compared with 73 classes that posted zero return Wednesday and 63 Tuesday.

A lot of taxable money mutual funds "put up big fat zeros yesterday," said Jeff Tjornehoj, senior research analyst at Lipper in Denver. "This is unprecedented in recent history."

Expect to see the phrase, "unprecedented in recent history," a lot in the next few months.

Part of this was no doubt the rather large gyrations in US T-Bills over the past few days, which went almost to 0% a on Thursday, because people were so concerned about finding safe havens. The 3 month T-Bill was at 0.22% Thursday, before heading back up to 0.91% on Friday following announcement of various rescue plans for the financial markets.

The dollar rose in response to the bailouts too, as did oil, though gasoline is down for the 3rd straight day, as that market adjusts to the realities of Hurricane Ike.

That being said, even with the rescue packages, Moody's is still looking at cutting its ratings on monoliner insurers Ambac and MBIA.

Also, it now looks like Morgan Stanley is still looking at merging with a commercial bank, even if the news of the bailout plans may have helped.